| Intrinsic Valuation of: ATGL | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | 6 | Market Cap | ₹743B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | 112 | Total Asset | ₹77B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹-2B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹7B | Total Debt | ₹15B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-3B | -47.6% (-1.8%) | EBITDA | ₹12B | Total Liab | ₹35B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹2B | 148.3% (147.0%) | Opr Margin | 0.19 | Debt/Equity | 0.37 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹230M | -85.3% (-86.8%) | PreTax Margin | 16.58 | BV/Share | 38 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹-906M | 5.1% (19.5%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (5.1%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹241M | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹53 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹254M | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹267M | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹280M | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹295M | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹310M | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹6B | Net Worth/Share | ₹38 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹5B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹2B | ₹-7 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹15B | WACC | 7.3% | -8 | -7 | -7 | -6 | -6 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹-8B | 7.4% | -8 | -7 | -7 | -6 | -6 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1,099,810,048 | 7.4% | -8 | -7 | -7 | -7 | -6 | ||||
| 7.9% | -8 | -8 | -7 | -7 | -7 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹-7 | 8.4% | -8 | -8 | -8 | -8 | -7 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||