|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Intrinsic Valuation of: ASHOKLEY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
|
Key Statistics |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
- |
- |
|
EPS (FY) |
11 |
|
Market Cap |
₹739B |
|
|
2021 |
|
- |
- (-) |
|
P/E Ratio |
24 |
|
Total Asset |
₹817B |
|
|
2022 |
|
₹28B |
- (-) |
|
Net Income |
₹31B |
|
Total Debt |
₹364B |
|
|
2023 |
|
₹-54B |
-290.8% (-220.1%) |
|
EBITDA |
₹96B |
|
Total Liab |
₹659B |
|
|
2024 |
|
₹-74B |
-36.2% (-24.1%) |
|
Opr Margin |
0.18 |
|
Debt/Equity |
2.30 |
|
|
2025 |
|
₹-15B |
79.4% (80.6%) |
|
PreTax Margin |
10.02 |
|
BV/Share |
32 |
|
|
5Y Average FCF |
|
₹-29B |
-82.5% (-54.5%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Overall Market Assumptions: |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
|
|
P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
|
|
|
Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
|
|
|
Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
|
|
|
Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
|
|
|
Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
|
Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
|
|
Year |
|
FCF Projection (4.0%) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2026 |
|
₹-30B |
|
|
MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹95 |
|
|
2027 |
|
₹-31B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2028 |
|
₹-32B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2029 |
|
₹-34B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2030 |
|
₹-35B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2031 |
|
₹-36B |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Terminal Value |
|
₹-756B |
|
|
Net Worth/Share |
₹54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DCF Valuation |
|
DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise Value |
₹-646B |
|
|
|
Growth Rate |
|
|
(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹65B |
|
|
₹-322 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
|
|
(-) Total Debt |
₹364B |
|
WACC |
7.3% |
-295 |
-309 |
-326 |
-347 |
-373 |
|
|
Equity Value |
₹-944B |
|
7.4% |
-294 |
-307 |
-324 |
-344 |
-370 |
|
|
Shares Outstanding |
2,936,529,920 |
|
7.4% |
-292 |
-305 |
-322 |
-341 |
-366 |
|
|
|
|
|
7.9% |
-277 |
-288 |
-301 |
-317 |
-336 |
|
|
DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹-322 |
|
8.4% |
-264 |
-273 |
-284 |
-297 |
-312 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|