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Intrinsic Valuation of: ALKEM |
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Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y |
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Key Statistics |
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Year |
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FCF |
FCF (FCF/Revenue) |
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2020 |
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- |
- |
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EPS (FY) |
181 |
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Market Cap |
₹591B |
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2021 |
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- |
- (-) |
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P/E Ratio |
27 |
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Total Asset |
₹177B |
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2022 |
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₹8B |
- (-) |
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Net Income |
₹22B |
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Total Debt |
₹3B |
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2023 |
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₹14B |
87.7% (72.5%) |
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EBITDA |
₹30B |
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Total Liab |
₹53B |
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2024 |
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₹17B |
16.5% (5.2%) |
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Opr Margin |
0.17 |
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Debt/Equity |
0.03 |
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2025 |
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₹12B |
-26.7% (-28.4%) |
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PreTax Margin |
15.68 |
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BV/Share |
957 |
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5Y Average FCF |
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₹13B |
25.8% (16.4%) |
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Overall Market Assumptions: |
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Assumptions: |
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P/E for No-Growth Company: |
7.0 |
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Perpetual Growth Rate (g): |
2.5% |
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Historical US Bond Yield: |
4.4% |
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Discount Rate (WACC): |
7.4% |
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Current US Bond Yield: |
3.5% |
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Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y |
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Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value |
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Year |
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FCF Projection (25.0%) |
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2026 |
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₹15B |
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MBG Intrinsic Value |
₹1,618 |
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2027 |
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₹19B |
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2028 |
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₹24B |
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2029 |
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₹30B |
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2030 |
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₹38B |
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2031 |
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₹47B |
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Terminal Value |
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₹981B |
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Net Worth/Share |
₹1,040 |
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DCF Valuation |
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DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table |
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Enterprise Value |
₹769B |
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Growth Rate |
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(+) Cash & Cash Equivalents |
₹3B |
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₹6,429 |
1.5% |
2.0% |
2.5% |
3.0% |
3.5% |
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(-) Total Debt |
₹3B |
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WACC |
7.3% |
5,590 |
6,035 |
6,574 |
7,236 |
8,072 |
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Equity Value |
₹769B |
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7.4% |
5,537 |
5,974 |
6,500 |
7,147 |
7,961 |
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Shares Outstanding |
119,565,000 |
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7.4% |
5,485 |
5,913 |
6,429 |
7,060 |
7,852 |
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7.9% |
5,012 |
5,366 |
5,784 |
6,288 |
6,905 |
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DCF Intrinsic Value |
₹6,429 |
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8.4% |
4,609 |
4,904 |
5,249 |
5,658 |
6,150 |
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Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) |
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