| Intrinsic Valuation of: ABFRL | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | -7 | Market Cap | ₹76B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | ₹166B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹6B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹-4B | Total Debt | ₹11B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-451M | -107.5% (-104.9%) | EBITDA | ₹16B | Total Liab | ₹98B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹6B | 1417.3% (2650.5%) | Opr Margin | -6.13 | Debt/Equity | 0.17 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹10B | 69.8% (48.3%) | PreTax Margin | -13.77 | BV/Share | 10 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹5B | 15.0% (864.6%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.48% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.40% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.10% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.48% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (15.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹11B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹-62 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹12B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹13B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹14B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹15B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹15B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹338B | Net Worth/Share | ₹56 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹286B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹8B | ₹232 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹11B | WACC | 6.5% | 223 | 243 | 268 | 301 | 344 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹283B | 7.2% | 197 | 212 | 230 | 253 | 282 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1,216,387,646 | 7.8% | 175 | 187 | 201 | 218 | 239 | ||||
| 8.4% | 158 | 168 | 178 | 191 | 207 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹232 | 9.1% | 144 | 152 | 160 | 170 | 182 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||