| Intrinsic Valuation of: ABFRL | |||||||||||
| Free Cash Flow Average and Growth over past 5Y | Key Statistics | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF | FCF (FCF/Revenue) | |||||||||
| 2020 | - | - | EPS (FY) | -5 | Market Cap | ₹91B | |||||
| 2021 | - | - (-) | P/E Ratio | - | Total Asset | ₹166B | |||||
| 2022 | ₹6B | - (-) | Net Income | ₹-4B | Total Debt | ₹11B | |||||
| 2023 | ₹-451M | -107.5% (-104.9%) | EBITDA | ₹17B | Total Liab | ₹98B | |||||
| 2024 | ₹6B | 1417.3% (2628.3%) | Opr Margin | -0.07 | Debt/Equity | 0.17 | |||||
| 2025 | ₹10B | 69.8% (48.7%) | PreTax Margin | -14.38 | BV/Share | 10 | |||||
| 5Y Average FCF | ₹5B | 459.9% (857.4%) | |||||||||
| Overall Market Assumptions: | |||||||||||
| Assumptions: | P/E for No-Growth Company: | 7.0 | |||||||||
| Perpetual Growth Rate (g): | 2.5% | Historical US Bond Yield: | 4.4% | ||||||||
| Discount Rate (WACC): | 7.4% | Current US Bond Yield: | 3.5% | ||||||||
| Forcasting Future Free Cash Flow for next 6Y | Modified Benjamin Graham's Intrinsic Value | ||||||||||
| Year | FCF Projection (25.0%) | ||||||||||
| 2026 | ₹13B | MBG Intrinsic Value | ₹-46 | ||||||||
| 2027 | ₹16B | ||||||||||
| 2028 | ₹20B | ||||||||||
| 2029 | ₹25B | ||||||||||
| 2030 | ₹31B | ||||||||||
| 2031 | ₹38B | ||||||||||
| Terminal Value | ₹800B | Net Worth/Share | ₹56 | ||||||||
| DCF Valuation | DCF Valuation "What If" Scenario Table | ||||||||||
| Enterprise Value | ₹627B | Growth Rate | |||||||||
| (+) Cash & Cash Equivalents | ₹8B | ₹512 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | ||||
| (-) Total Debt | ₹11B | WACC | 7.3% | 445 | 481 | 524 | 577 | 644 | |||
| Equity Value | ₹623B | 7.4% | 441 | 476 | 518 | 570 | 635 | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 1,215,900,032 | 7.4% | 437 | 471 | 512 | 563 | 627 | ||||
| 7.9% | 399 | 427 | 461 | 501 | 551 | ||||||
| DCF Intrinsic Value | ₹512 | 8.4% | 367 | 390 | 418 | 451 | 490 | ||||
| Analyzed by QuantJuice (2025) | |||||||||||